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No-arbitrage pricing under cross-ownership: the multi-firm equilibrium   12 May 10
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Ground breaking original work by Tom Fischer on pricing crowss-ownership. In the current Greece madness this is more important than ever and allows for a first time to price these common constructs. Cross-ownership is a real, structural problem!

If you are a rating company or investment bank and interested in these algorithms please contact us at armin @ approximity dot com. Existing models do not attempt multi-firm, multi-liability and multi-priority cross-ownership in a structural way.

The general case:

  • Models the XOS of assets and liabilities for groups of firms.
  • Multiple different classes of liabilities, e.g. debt and derivatives.
  • Multiple different priorities of claims are allowed.
  • Directly incorporates counterparty risk at the multi-firm level into derivatives pricing and general asset pricing.
  • Underlying exogenous assets can be stochastically dependent.
  • Situations where valuation is impossible (no equilibria/multiple equilibria) exist.
  • It should be possible to extend any model based on the original Mer- ton Model (for instance the Moody’s KMV model) to incorporate cross-ownership along the lines of this paper.

Tom Fischer’s latest slides: statistik.mathematik.uni-wuerzburg.de/~fischer/papers/DGVFM_Fischer_XOS.pdf

The full article: arxiv.org/abs/1005.0768

The image below from the NY Times shows a good application of Tom’s XOS work.

 

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